Last week’s ‘Big Plays’ would have likely won you some places in the cash pools with the likes of Baker Mayfield, Melvin Gordon, and Julian Edelman all coming through with big games. Unfortunately though, the ‘Dart Throws’ in Nick Mullen, Willie Snead, and Ed Dickson all fell short with poor fantasy numbers, but hey, that’s why they were dart throws! Hopefully I can give you some better players to target this week in your DFS lineups!
So, back to the drawing board – take a look through my must-start players in DFS for week 13, why they will do well and I’ll also throw you some GPP ‘Bargain Bin’ dart throw plays to top it all off.
QB – Cam Newton, Carolina Panthers – @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers – DraftKings: $6,600
This game has shootout potential written all over it. Jameis Winston is almost a lock for 300 yards each week and I don’t expect that to change against a flighty Carolina secondary that is coming off three back to back losses.
In turn, this means Cam will likely need to work his magic if the Panthers are going to come out of this one with a win. The Bucs give up the third most fantasy points to QB’s on the season (23.8 DK points) and the most touchdowns (27), so it bodes well to be a Carolina kind-a-week.
Expect Cam to be firing on all cylinders this week and take your pick of Christian McCaffrey ($8,800), D.J Moore ($5,600), Curtis Samuel ($3,900) or Greg Olsen ($4,100) to stack with him – all should have productive weeks for their respective positions.
DeShaun Watson, Houston Texans – vs Cleveland Browns – DraftKings: $6,100
Andrew Luck, Indianapolis Colts – @ Jacksonville Jaguars – DraftKings: $5,800
RB – Tarik Cohen, Chicago Bears @ New York Giants – DraftKings: $5,600
Jordan Howard is dead to me. I had so much hope for Howard this year in this ‘new look’ Matt Nagy team. But boy has he disappointed. One player that hasn’t disappointed thus far though, is Tarik Cohen. The little speedster has over 16 PPR points in over half his games this season, with three games over 20 points.
This week’s opponents in New York have been miserable against pass-catching running backs having given up 5 receiving touchdowns (joint second most in the league) and finds themselves in the top 10 of fantasy points given up to running backs on the season.
With Franchise QB, and breakout star Mitch Trubisky set to miss his second game in succession, Cohen will provide a great dump off option for back up Chase Daniel as he did last week against the Detroit Lions.
Aaron Jones, Green Bay Packers vs Arizona Cardinals – DraftKings: $6,700
Phillip Lindsay, Denver Broncos @ Cincinnati Bengals – DraftKings: $5,400
WR – Kenny Golladay, Detroit Lions vs Los Angeles Rams – DraftKings: $6,700
This pick might seem a little out of left field considering Kenny G is on the Lions and they face an elite defense on paper with star CB Aqib Talib also back from injury for the Rams this week. However, there is a method to the madness.
Basically, it’s all about volume. With Golden Tate and Eric Ebron out of town, Marvin Jones on the IR and Michael Roberts doubtful – who else is going to catch passes in that offense? Luke Willson? Bruce Ellington? Well, two things are for certain in this game. 1) The Lions will be behind all game and 2) Kenny Golladay will see over 15 targets.
Despite having to deal with that elite level secondary, Golladay is also an elite athlete and will be able to have a productive day in fantasy terms. It feels like deja vu when your talking about Detroit these days isn’t it when you talk about one receiver needing to carry a team… one name… Calvin Johnson.
D.J Moore, Carolina Panthers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers – DraftKings: $5,600
Robert Woods, Los Angeles Rams @ Detroit Lions – DraftKings: $6,900
TE – Cameron Brate, Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers – DraftKings: $3,700
Man, this game really will be a slugfest. Like I mentioned earlier, Jameis will likely rack up 300 yards as per usual this week, and not only is Brate a favorite target for Winston, he’s also his preferred red zone option.
Look for Brate to take advantage of facing the second worst team against tight ends in fantasy this season who not only give a generous 16.5 points per game to the position but also the joint most touchdowns (8), tied only with the lowly Bengals
Bargain Bin Dart Throws
QB – Case Keenum, Denver Broncos @ Cincinnati Bengals – DraftKings: $5,200
The matchup with the Bengals is a good one for a team trending upwards over the last few weeks. It was a slow start for Keenum and Co., but at 5-6, they aren’t out of the playoff hunt just yet and will look to capitalize on a lackluster Cincinnati team down on its luck at the moment. The Bengals currently give away 26.2 DK points per week to QBs, worst in the league.
RB – Jalen Richard, Oakland Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs – DraftKings: $4,300
For as good as the Chiefs has been so far this season, a chink in the armor comes in the way of defending pass-catching running backs. If you’re going to get success against this improving defense and counteract that explosive offense, it has to be through this channel.
Richard is that guy for Oakland and has an impressive 40.6 receiving yards per game average on the season which bodes well facing a team that gives up the most yards and most TDs to receiving backs.
WR – Christian Kirk, Arizona Cardinals @ Green Bay Packers – DraftKings: $4,600
Lambeau Field isn’t the easiest of places to go, especially this time of the year when the weather becomes a major part of the game. I think the Packers win this game and cover the -14 point spread; but that means Josh Rosen may be forced to throw the ball.
Green Bay has not been effective defending the pass this season and finds themselves in the top 5 of both fantasy points against (42.7 per game) and touchdowns (16) given up to receivers. Larry Fitzgerald will draw the coverage across the middle, leaving Kirk to capitalize on rookie cornerbacks Josh Jackson or Jaire Alexander, both of whom have been slow to adapt to the NFL.
Curtis Samuel, Carolina Panthers – @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers – DraftKings: $3,900
TE – Kyle Rudolph, Minnesota Vikings @ New England Patriots – DraftKings: $3,600
It’s strange to call Kyle Rudolph a ‘Bargain Bin Dart Throw’, but unfortunately that has become the case for the 2 x Pro-Bowler. At $3,600, Rudolph is the 14th best tight end in the main slate according to DraftKings – but he does have a surprisingly good matchup against the Patriots this week. New England dole out 16.1 DK points per game to tight ends, so if Kirk Cousins can dial into his TE1 again like he did last week (7 receptions for 63 yards), Rudolph could win fantasy owners weeks and DK participants cash.
by Rob Grimwood – @FFBritBaller