Peyton Barber, Dak Prescott, Curtis Samuel, and David Johnson were the players that paid off for you from last week’s article so I hope you managed to squeeze them into your DraftKings/Fan Duel lineups.
Unfortunately, Zach Ertz had an uncharacteristic poor performance when all indications were pointing to him having a big day against the Saints. John Brown also had a miserable fantasy day and in turn, has removed himself from fantasy relevance for the remainder of the season regardless of how good a matchup he may face.
So, back to the drawing board this week – take a look through my must-start players in DFS for week 12, why they will do well and I’ll also throw you some GPP ‘Bargain Bin’ dart throw plays to top it all off.
Baker Mayfield, Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals – Draftkings: $5,500
The Mayfield play seems a popular one this week amongst fantasy analysts, and rightly so. He faces a Bengals secondary that just cannot defend against the pass. They are currently giving up 26.2 DK fantasy points per game to QB’s, which is worst in the league.
The first overall pick from this years’ draft has been impressive so far and has put up at least 15 fantasy points in his last four games. Start him this week with confidence with David Njoku as the stack play if you wish.
Melvin Gordon, Los Angeles Chargers vs Arizona Cardinals – DraftKings: $8,600
How good has Melvin Gordon been this season in fantasy! If it wasn’t for Todd Gurley blowing away anyone that stands in his path, Gordon would be receiving all of the plaudits.
This week he faces a Cardinals rush defense has been a lot better of late – but is that really that surprising considering they have only had to deal with the Raiders, 49ers, and Broncos rush offenses in three of the last four matchups, all of which are hardly elite rush units.
I expect Gordon will see a lot of the ball this week and continue to build on his 82.3 rush yard per game average in addition to finding the endzone at least once. I know he’ll cost you, but it will be worth it.
*Disclaimer – Gordon has a ‘Q’ designation after only being a limited participant in training this week. Check the reports before kickoff, if Melvin misses, load up on Austin Ekeler for $3,700
Julian Edelman, New England Patriots vs New York Jets– DraftKings: $7,000
The Patriots march into New York to take on a porous Jets defense that can be exploited all over the field, especially after their last performance at the Meadowlands against the lowly Buffalo Bills.
New England will too be looking to bounce back after a miserable showing before their bye when they got taught a lesson by the Tennessee Titans. I for one wouldn’t like to be on the end of a pissed off Bill Belichick and Tom Brady, and that is the wrath that the Jets will face this week.
For the Pats to get right, they are likely to go back to what they know works – pepper Julian Edelman with targets. He’s had no less than 7 receptions in the last 3 games, 2 of which resulted in over 100-yard games. Look for Edelman to repeat this week.
George Kittle, San Francisco 49ers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers – DraftKings: $6,200
Tampa Bay has struggled all season defending receivers that play out of the slot. Despite San Fran are pretty ineffective this year from their wideouts, George Kittle has been the standout player who’s produced mostly from the slot.
Kittle has received at least 5 receptions in 7 out of 10 games this season and has been super productive with them recording more than 17 PPR points in three of the last four games.
Not only can the Buccs not defend the slot, but they are also giving up the 2nd most DK points to tight ends. Kittle should be your lock of the week this week.
Bargain Bin Dart Throws
Nick Mullen, San Francisco 49ers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers– DraftKings: $5,400
As just discussed with Kittle, the Bucs struggle to defend against the pass. Mullen has performed admirably since being gifted with the starting role in San Francisco, throwing for at least 250 yards in both outings, with 3 and 1 touchdowns respectively.
If you’re looking to save money this week in your lineup, stacking Mullen with Kittle could win you lot’s of money this week.
Marlon Mack, Indianapolis Colts vs Miami Dolphins – DraftKings: $5,500
Miami struggle against the run (1,221 rushing yards given up this year, 3rd worst in the league) and they welcome a vastly improving Colts offense to Hard Rock Stadium. I expect Mack to see the bulk of Indy’s carries this week, and every time he’s received more than 16 rushes this season, he’s found himself over the 100-yard rushing threshold.
Willie Snead, Baltimore Ravens vs Oakland Raiders – DraftKings: $4,400
In the intro, I mentioned you can’t trust John Brown’s productivity in a fluctuating Ravens’ offense. But one man you can trust is Willie Snead and his high floor week to week. Only once in the last 7 games has Snead had less than 4 receptions and the baseline seems to be around 55 yards per week.
The only downside is the lack of touchdowns that are currently stopping him being a solid WR2 on a week to week basis. The cure for the common lack of receiving touchdowns is to go against a bottom 5 defense in giving them up. Step up Oakland – Snead should have a nice fantasy day where a touchdown will separate you from the chasing pack in DraftKings.
Ed Dickson, Seattle Seahawks vs Carolina Panthers – DraftKings: $2,600
Dickson is a pure dart throw value at $2,600. He faces a Panthers’ defense worst in the league against TE’s through giving up 8 TD’s to the position, most in the league. He has found the endzone twice since returning from the PUP in week 8.
by Rob Grimwood – @FFBritBaller