Volume Facts and Takeaways – Week 5 – by Gabriel Cabistani

We are five weeks through the 2018 NFL Regular Season, and each week I break down the production of the top performing players from the previous week’s games. Each table could help you decide between trade targets and who’s production could carry on into the next week.

I have broken the volume numbers down into categories to help you understand who is the Crème de la Crème of the volume ranks! These are the guys who are most likely to provide you with some good Fantasy Football production heading into week 6.

Teams that were on Bye: Chicago Bears and Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Top 20 Rushing Attempts and Rushing Share

 

LeSean McCoy looked like he missed a beat in the first weeks of the season. Maybe it was an injury, maybe the horrible schedule… But Shady surely came back with a blast, rushing 24 times on the Bills’ win over the Tennesse Titans (even though he amassed just 55,8% of his team’s Rushing Share).

Joe Mixon also came back very well (for someone who had a recent arthroscopy), joining Kareem Hunt and Todd Gurley with 22 rushes this week (with 84,6% and 73,3% for the last two of Rushing Share, respectively). James Conner came back to Fantasy Football prominence with a strong showing, rushing for 21 times (and a solid 72,4% Rushing Share).

gurley
Photo Credit: Bettina Hansen/The Seattle Times

Some other notable rushers were Ezekiel Elliott, Alfred Blue and Bilal Powell (20 rushes each), Melvin Gordon and Chris Carson (19 rushes each) and David Johnson, Sony Michel and Alfred Morris (18 rushes each).

The dominant Rushing Share player of the Week was Saquon Barkley (93,8%) even though he had “only” 15 carries in a last-second loss to the Carolina Panthers.

One quick note: another guy that came back with a vengeance is Mark Ingram. Not only he dominated the Saints’ rushing attempts last Monday with 16 – he made everybody wonder where Alvin Kamara was…

Top 20 Touches and Touch Share

 

Alfred Blue has surely taken hold of his opportunity (with Lamar  Miller active but not participating in the game) with a very heavy workload, good for 28 touches – while also being the only RB who participated actively in the Texans‘ offense last Sunday.

Zeke (as the focal point of the Cowboys’ offense) keeps touching the ball a ton, 27 times last week – as Todd Gurley (26 touches) and James Conner (25 touches). Shady, just like we said earlier, came back with heavy volume, good for 26 Touches.

One player who had a good week after a long time (as we talk about touches), was Melvin Gordon, amassing 23 touches, as well as Joe Mixon, with 25. Nyheim Hines is a bit of a surprise, getting 22 touches in a defeat against the New England Patriots – game script certainly took a huge part in this production, but PPR Format owners certainly will not complain!

The only 100% Touch Share players this week were Blue, Gurley, and Barkley who dominated their teams’ backfield. David Johnson and Joe Mixon were following closely (95,2% and 92,6% respectively), while Zeke was also very close – 90% Touch Share.

T.J. Yeldon is another fine surprise, taking advantage of the absence of Leonard Fournette and the recent season-ending injury of Corey Grant. He handled 85,7% of the Jaguars’ Touches in a losing effort against the Kansas City Chiefs.

Top 20 Targets and Target Share

 

How surprising can the NFL be? Seriously, how large would be the odds of you betting for Eric Ebron and Donte Moncrief leading the league in Targets (15) for the past week? Also, who would put James White and John Brown along with Odell Beckham and Emmanuel Sanders (14 Targets each) among the second place holders?

Antonio Brown finally had a healthy target dose as he received 13, joining the ever present DeAndre Hopkins. Austin Hooper, Michael Crabtree, Davante Adams and Pierre Garçon each had 12 Targets, while some frequent names did not show up for this week – such as Adam Thielen, JuJu Smith Schuster, and Michael Thomas, just to name a few.

AB was the Target Share top player in Week 5, with a massive 44,8% share, far more than from the second placeholder Odell Beckham (37,8%). Kenny Golladay was very heavily involved, earning a 36% Target Share, while Keenan Allen and Zach Ertz surpassed the 34% mark – which is not surprising, considering their portfolio.

Two Running Backs are worth taking notice: Kenyan Drake (33,3%), in what can be described as an apology from Adam Gase (who clearly does not like his RBs) and James White (31,8%) who is becoming one of Tom Brady’s favorite short pass options.

Top 10 Red Zone Rushing Attempts and Targets

 

Rounding this article up, we’ll talk quickly about the Red Zone stats.

Todd Gurley took a ridiculous number of carries in the Red Zone last week, totaling 12 attempts. Also, he scored three times… David Johnson, Sony Michel, and James Conner rushed 5 times inside the 20, while LeGarrette Blount, Alfred Blue and Bilal Powell hit 4 carries. Zeke, Dion Lewis and Phillip Lindsay round it out with 3 carries in the Red Zone.

The only ones who scored in this list were (excluding Gurley) Johnson, Conner (twice each) and Michel (one Touchdown).

In Red Zone Targets, five guys share the first place: the aforementioned James White, Jared Cook, Eric Ebron, Ryan Griffin and Emmanuel Sanders (each with 4 Targets). However, only Ebron (2 TDs) and White (1 TD) scored

Closing the RZ Targets list, Zeke, AB, Wendell Smallwood, Hopkins and Keelan Cole got three Targets each inside the 20-yard line. Unfortunately, none of them was able to hit paydirt this time.

That’s it for Week 5 Volume Takeaways. Thank you very much and I hope to see you after Week 6!

By Gabriel Cabistani – @GTCabistaniFF

DISCLAIMER – Data gathered from http://www.pro-football-reference.com  and Red Zone Stats from http://www.nflsavant.com.

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s