Volume Facts and Takeaways – Week 4 – by Gabriel Cabistani

We have reached the first month of the 2018 NFL Regular Season, and things are starting to sort themselves out (or not so much, I guess it depends on your point of view).

It is our job, as we keep doing it weekly, to break volume stats and tendencies down and clarify it to you, our kind readers!

Without further ado, let’s get into our Week 4 installment!

Teams that were on Bye: Carolina Panthers and Washington Redskins

Top 20 Rushing and Rushing Share Leaders

For someone who started the season recovering from a knee injury, Sony Michel has surely shown that he can handle a large workload. He (along with Ezekiel Elliott) led the league in Rushing Attempts with 25, followed by David Johnson and Carlos Hyde with 22 each, another Seahawks’ RB (this time Mike Davis) with 21 and Marshawn Lynch with 20.

Sony Michel
Photo Credit: AP Photo/Steven Senne

Some backups had a good chunk of carries in Week 3 – T.J. Yeldon had 18, Giovani Bernard had 15, Tevin Coleman had 14, where Tarik Cohen and Alfred Blue had 13 each. Cohen was a bit surprising, since Jordan Howard usually has the bulk of the Chicago Bears‘ rushing volume.

Even though Todd Gurley ran “only” 15 times last Thursday, he led the league with an 85% Rushing Share, followed closely by James Conner (81,8%) and David Johnson (78,6%). There are not many surprising players in this category, other than some “foreigners”: Only Bilal Powell and Ronald Jones aren’t usually among the leaders (even if they barely had more than 50% of their teams’ Rushing Shares).

Ronald Jones was a bit surprising too, as the rookie RB suited up for the first time this season and had 55,6% of the Bucs’ Rushing Share – even if that could be attributed to game flow (and the subsequent phase-out of Peyton Barber).

Top 20 Touches and Touch Share Leaders

Ezekiel Elliott (as always) was dominant, earning 29 touches and leading the way for a Cowboys win over the Lions. David Johnson finally came back to life in Week 4, earning 25 touches.

On a quick note, Alvin Kamara, Marshawn Lynch, Kareem Hunt, Carlos Hyde, Melvin Gordon, and Todd Gurley are also back again – for the fourth week in a row – showing once more their workhorse status. However, will Mark Ingram’s return pour some water over Kamara’s party?

Gurley and James Conner truly were omnipresent among their peers in Week 4 – they had all the backfield touches for their squads. Closing up were Kareem Hunt (with a 91,7% Touch Share on MNF), David Johnson (86,7%) and Alvin Kamara (82,8%). The return of Mark Ingram for next week might cause a slight (or significant) drop in these shares, though.

Top 20 Target and Target Share Leaders

When someone says “I guess no one saw that one coming,” I think it was meant to do it last Sunday. Seriously, who would imagine Keke Coutee having 15 targets and 39,4% of his team’s Target Share?

Of course, an injury (again) to Will Fuller contributed to these spectacular numbers, but surely it is a huge surprise. Along with Coutee, the rising Bengal Tyler Boyd, Corey Davis and Stefon Diggs led the way also with 15 targets a piece. Davante Adams and Zach Ertz followed them up with 14 each, Dede Westbrook, Tyreek Hill and Jared Cook had 13, and Julio Jones, DeAndre Hopkins, Travis Kelce, Adam Thielen, Nelson Agholor and Amari Cooper each had 12.

Photo Credit: Mitch Stringer/USA TODAY Sports

As far as Target Share is concerned, another surprise: Dede Westbrook was the leader (39,4% Target Share) of last week, followed by Coutee (37,5%), Boyd (36,6%), Adams (35%), Cooper Kupp (33,3%), Jones (31,6%), Tarik Cohen (30,8%), Diggs (30,6%), Hill (30,2%) and Hopkins (30%) to close out the 30% Target Share Club.

Some standouts were James White (28,6%), Christian Kirk (28% and rising) and the returning Doug Baldwin, who was not eased on to the field and also got 28% of the Seahawks’ Target Share.

Top 10 Red Zone Rushes and Target Leaders

Closing this article up, let’s go to the Red Zone Rushing and Target Leaders!

Starting with the rushers, Hyde and Michel had 6 carries inside the 20, followed by Hunt and Kamara (5 each), Davis, Lamar Miller and Buck Allen (4 each) and Saquon Barkley, DJ and Derrick Henry (3 each).

Allen is showing week in and week out that he is a serious threat to Alex Collins’ Fantasy Production, since Collins still hasn’t figure his fumbling issues and is not trusted in the Red Zone anymore.

For Targets, Melvin Gordon led with 5 (and scored once), followed by Boyd, Cooper, A.J. Green and Kamara (4 each). The rank is rounded up by JuJu Smith-Schuster, Eric Ebron, Thielen, Sterling Shepard and Kelce (3 each).

Thank you so much for reading and I hope your players receive plenty of volume this in week 5!

By Gabriel Cabistani – @GTCabistaniFF

DISCLAIMER – Data gathered from http://www.pro-football-reference.com  and Red Zone Stats from http://www.nflsavant.com.

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