Welcome back for another glorious DraftKings NFL Main slate breakdown! Congrats to those of you who had confidence in the week three sheet, as we had a couple of followers take down small tournaments and several others mentioned having a nice afternoon sweat. Moving on to this week, there’s currently two games and five offenses (New Orleans, New York Giants, Atlanta Falcons, Cincinnati Bengals and Los Angeles Chargers) that have high Vegas Over/Unders and are loaded with juicy matchups to exploit, but should net much higher ownership across the board and is where you should center research for your cash lineup around.
For tournaments, the Texans vs Colts game is looking like the best game to use to try and hedge the field with. Indianapolis has played one of the most difficult strength of schedule’s versus pass defenses and now takes on the worst pass defense in the NFL. Combine that with Andrew Luck having something to prove and is likely already throwing TD passes in his sleep to his favorite target, T.Y. “THE TEXANS DESTROYER” Hilton, and you got an offense looking to come out swinging. Feeling good about the Colts offense this week, especially after what old man Eli Manning just did to this defense while under pressure, truly pathetic.
On the other hand, Houston are a very desperate team with major issues on the offensive line and are feeling every bit of the frustrations that comes with being an underachieving 0-3 team that had a much different vision of how they wanted their season to start. DeShaun Watson has wrongfully taken most of the blame even though he’s been pretty good so far in fantasy circles. In the last two weeks I’ve used Watson and he’s rewarded me with a two-game average of 28 DraftKings points and both came at 10% ownership or less!! For whatever reason, like Cam Newton, people just love to hate on Watson and I think that mentality is going to come back with a vengeance
Also, there are a few players in games with low Vegas O/U’s who have the best matchups against a tough defense or are just a head to head nightmare for the opposing defender that’s assigned to cover them and could net heavy usage to exploit it. Players like Mike Evans, David Johnson, Kenny Golladay, Quincy Enunwa, and Christian Kirk are all players I’ll have 5-15% exposure to this week as deep hedge plays. In closing, I hope everyone has another GREAT weekend on DraftKings Main slate and I look forward to you guys tagging me on Twitter with screenshots bragging about your winnings. Good luck and have fun!
The One Percenter Plays (BIG TOURNAMENTS ONLY)
Every week we see players who score six or more times their salary at minimum price and leaves most of us wondering how they ended up in any line up to begin with. Well I’m here to share with you my week four DK Main Slate top “One Percenter” plays, which are very high risk, high reward plays.
C.J. Beathard (QB) San Fransisco 49ers, $4,600
Like Ryan Fitzpatrick in week one, who took down the Millionaire tournament with his Buccaneer goon squad at a gut wrenching 1% ownership – most have just written off the 49ers QB week as trash, which is probaby true. But he’s in a system with one of the leagues brightest offensive minds and now has the element of surprise and chance to catch a reeling Chargers defense with their pants down.
Most don’t remember that C.J has some serious wheels and scored three rushing touchdowns in the six games he started last year. Slap C.J in that ‘Milly Maker’ lineup with all those high-priced Saints and Giants players and see what happens.
Deonte Thompson (WR), Dallas Cowboys, $3,500
Dallas has said that they “need to get the offense going”, making the Cowboys passing game the white elephant in the room this week. Thompson has the left WR position locked up and with an increase in projected volume makes him a decent shot to have a productive game in a soft matchup.
Nick Vannett (TE), Seattle Seahawks, $2,500
With Dissly’s elite blocking skills needed to protect Russell Wilson, Vannett’s been getting the targets when the team has a lead and Seattle is heavily favored this week.
Jordan Thomas (TE), Houston Texans, $2,500
Thomas is a rookie whose usage is not where you want it to be yet, but the Texans coaching staff has taken notice to the converted wide receivers’ elite pass-catching ability and have discussed giving him more snaps in a soft matchup against the Colts.
DISCLAIMER: odds are stacked against these guys succeeding so be sure you understand that there is always the possibility of them scoring ZERO points for your tournament lineup. Play at your own risk and do your own research before using them in your lineups.
By Shaun Bo – @FF_Takeaway