Were you listening last week when I said Dak Prescott should be on your bench? Well, if you did then it paid off because Prescott continued to look lost behind an offensive line that once again missed Tyron Smith — he threw for just 145 yards and had 3 INT’s. It likely doesn’t get any easier this week in the Turkey Bowl against the Los Angeles Chargers. Pro Football Focus has Joey Bosa (1st) and Melvin Ingram (2nd) as their top two edge defenders when it comes to pressuring quarterbacks. Prescott might very well be the turkey that the Chargers defense feasts on this Thanksgiving as he could be running for his life if Smith can’t play this week. Besides the Dallas Cowboys’ offensive ineptitude over the last couple weeks, let’s dive into which players should be in your lineup and which players should stick to your bench for Week 12…
Andy Dalton, QB, Cincinnati Bengals (START)
(DraftKings – $6,000 / Fanduel – $7,200)
That’s right I’m going contrarian this week and picking the “Raging Redhead” under center in Cincinnati. It’s the ‘Battle of Ohio’ this Sunday and Dalton has loved playing the Cleveland Browns in his career — 10-3 lifetime with 24 TD’s in 13 meetings. The Browns are tied for 12th-most fantasy points allowed to QB’s and have given up 20 passing TD’s this season.
Case Keenum, QB, Minnesota Vikings (SIT)
(DraftKings – $5,300 / Fanduel – $7,500)
This may come as a surprise considering Keenum has been the hot hand in Minnesota and led them to an NFC North divisional lead with an 8-2 record. However, the margin for error is slim for Keenum and I wonder if this week in Detroit he takes a step back in Mike Zimmer’s good books? The Lions have allowed just 12 passing TD’s this season, while allowing 230.8 PYDS/G and have 11 INT’s. The Vikings could lean on the ground game this week like they did at home to the Los Angeles Rams in Week 11 and I think this limits Keenum’s fantasy upside all together.
Latavius Murray, RB, Minnesota Vikings (START)
(DraftKings – $4,900 / Fanduel – $6,500)
You can likely see that I’m trending towards the run-heavy approach by the Vikings this week and why not? Murray is coming off his best fantasy output of the season — 95 yardson 15 carries and 2 TD’s — and there is little reason to suggest he can’t find the end zone again in Week 12. The Lions have given up 10 rushing TD’s this year and are tied for the 5th-most fantasy points against to RB’s.
Jordan Howard, RB, Chicago Bears (SIT)
(DraftKings – $6,000 / Fanduel – $7,500)
The run game is what keeps Mitch Trubisky honest and quite frankly it’s a bad spot this week going into Philadelphia. The majority of the Eagles opponents have not been able to establish a rushing attack this year because they are simply playing catchup in each game — with the exception of their Week 2 loss in Kansas City. The Eagles have given up an NFL-best 44.1 RYDS/G and just three rushing TD’s all year…the odds are not in Howard’s favor.
Jeremy Maclin, WR, Baltimore Ravens (START)
(DraftKings – $5,000 / Fanduel – $6,200)
It’s been Mike Wallace that has stolen the celebration after scoring touchdowns in back-to-back weeks, but I say Maclin finds pay dirt this week. Sure, Joe Flacco makes fantasy owners cringe, but consider that the Houston Texans are giving up the 5th-most FP against and 13 TD’s to opposing WR’s this year. If Blaine Gabbert can light up the Texans, then Flacco and Co. certainly have a good chance on Monday night.
Marqise Lee, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars (SIT)
(DraftKings – $4,500 / Fanduel – $6,300)
Allen Hurns (ankle) missed practice again on Wednesday and is looking a shade more doubtful than he is questionable to play on Sunday. Of course, fantasy owners will be anticipating a heavy volume for Lee as he could be considered a WR2 this week after Blake Bortles looked his way 10 times in Week 11. But, he likely draws a matchup with Cardinals shutdown corner, Patrick Peterson, and Lee owners will be touchdown dependant in this game (Bortles has just 12 TD’s this year).
Jared Cook, TE, Oakland Raiders (START)
(DraftKings – $4,600 / Fanduel – $5,500)
Cook didn’t get many looks last week in Mexico against that NewEngland Patriots secondary as they did a pretty solid job of shadowing him. However, I’m still riding with him this week against a Denver Broncos defense that has been horrible against opposing TE’s. They’ve surrendered 68.9 REC YDS/G (2nd-most in NFL) along with 7 TD’s to the position this season. If Derek Carr is smart, he will look Cook’s way a little more often in this matchup.
Zach Ertz, TE, Philadelphia Eagles (SIT)
(DraftKings – $6,600 / Fanduel – $7,600)
Some of you might be wondering if I fell and hit my head over the weekend? No, I don’t have amnesia and I understand that Ertz is TE3 in PPR scoring this year. But, many people have overlooked the Chicago Bears defense this year and they are especially good against the pass — tied for 3rd-fewest fantasy points to TE’s this year. Plus, they’ve allowed a TE to catch a TD just twice this season and have given up 41.7 REC YDS/G to the position.